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Structured Clinical Memory as Context for Probabilistic Decision Models

arXiv paper testing whether compact structured memory improves a probabilistic decision model's answers on 30 fully synthetic clinical cases across twelve domains, evaluated with 120 typed questions and reporting accuracy, log loss, Brier score, token and latency costs.
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2 min
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Added
Nov 2026

Highlights

  • 30 fully synthetic cases spanning twelve clinical domains, each paired with synthetically generated structured memory.
  • 120 typed questions evaluated with Jev; raw-vignette accuracy 90.0% versus 93.3% with memory added.
  • Choice log loss fell from 0.258 to 0.175 and binary Brier score from 0.054 to 0.022.
  • Memory added about 310 input tokens per call on average; observed mean latency stayed near 0.5 seconds.
  • Five questions flipped from incorrect to correct and one the other way (exact McNemar p=0.219).

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